Friday, June 10, 2005

The Global Shake-Up

In National Review Online, influential American historian Victor David Hanson writes about the emergence of Asia (& the regression of Europe).

Choice quote:

But the real question is how both China and India, nuclear and arming, will translate their newfound economic clout and cash into a geopolitical role. If internal politics and protocols are any barometer of foreign policy, it should be an interesting show. We mostly welcome the new India — nuclear, law-abiding, and English-speaking — onto the world stage. It deserves a permanent seat on the Security Council and a close alliance with the United States.

China, however, is a very different story — a soon-to-be grasping Soviet Union-like superpower without any pretense of Marxist egalitarianism. Despite massive cash reserves and ongoing trade surpluses, it violates almost every international commercial protocol from copyright law to patents. It won’t discuss Tibet, and it uses staged domestic unrest to send warnings to Taiwan and Japan that their regional options will increasingly be limited by Beijing.

Is it just us, or are we suddenly seeing a proliferation of pro-India (& China-wary) rhetoric from right-leaning American intellectuals, policy makers, & journalists? Is this somehow orchestrated as prelude to the up-coming US visit of Manmohan Singh? Not that we are complaining!!

4 comments:

Laks said...

Primary Red:
I see that the neo-cons are taking a very hostile position vis-a-vis China seeing Rumsfelds recent statements. Is their newfound love of India is genuine or is it a ploy to play the China card?

Primary Red said...

We think the US now sees China as a clear threat; China's recent belligerence in East Asia (esp. against US-ally Japan) has solidified this perspective.

On India, US likely does not know how the game will play out. But, many here (esp. the neo-conservatives) have long been interested in using India to balance China, and as a foil to the extremism emerging in the middle east.

So, US will court India heavily, but keep its expectations low; in the minimum, this'll keep Indians happy (we love American approval, after all), and will irritate China no end (because it doesn't see India in its league).

India should leverage this serendipitous circumstance to aggresively push our global interests (which, at the moment, do largely coincide with America's).

Best regards.

doubtinggaurav said...

I think that India will play the way americans want.
After all, we have served loyally Anglo-Saxons before

Laks said...

Emm. I do see a strong possibility of India-US partnership. Either a la US-UK "special relationship" (also known as poodle behavior) or like the French (make antogonizing statements in public to satisfy the leftists/nationalists while collaborating behind the scenes).

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